Sunday, July 17, 2011

Summer Fun

This past Saturday I wandered over to the Washington Capitals practice facility to watch the final event of this week's rookie camp - an intra-squad scrimmage between the "Red Team" and the "White Team".  I was struck by the huge crowd and some very impressive prospects in this camp.  Some of the more notable players were Mattias Sjogren and Garrett Haar.  I believe Sjogren is ready for the show as he is strong on his skates, throws his weight around and is a solid play maker.  It really makes me wonder why the Capitals brought center Jeff Halpern back as I believe Sjogren will be higher on the depth chart by the conclusion of training camp.  

Garrett Haar also impressed me.  Haar was planning to play at Northeastern this season but recently decommitted after Greg Cronin resigned as head coach to join the Toronto Maple Leafs.   Haar planned to return to Fargo of the USHL but the Capitals want him to play college hockey in the fall.  In fact, after the scrimmage, Caps GM George McPhee called Boston College coach Jerry York to see if he had room for the 17-year-old defenseman. These last minute arrivals to a college team are always interesting.  Some of you may remember back in 1973 when Mike Eruzione was planning to play at Merrimack College.  Boston University saw him play in a summer league and invited him to play at BU in the fall - the rest is history.  

Wednesday, June 22, 2011

Ten Reasons Why The Bruins Won the Stanley Cup

  1. They out coached Vancouver.
  2. They out goalied Vancouver.
  3. The Bruin's defense was superior.  
  4. Unexpectedly, the Bruin's offense was superior.
  5. Vancouver lacked depth and degraded as Dan Hamhuis and Mason Raymond went down.
  6. The Bruin's rallied when Nathan Horton went down as Shawn Thornton was inserted into the lineup.
  7. Vancouver power play was stifled.
  8. Vancouver lacked discipline (cheap shots, diving).  
  9. Vancouver lacked character. 
  10. Bruins had Rene Rancourt, in Game 6 he did three (3) fist pumps and wore a yellow vest and tie (reportedly borrowed from Ryan Herron).  

Tuesday, June 7, 2011

Nathan Horton for Aaron Rome

Nathan Horton for Aaron Rome, the Canucks will take this any day of the week.  The Bruins lose one of their top forwards for the remainder of the playoffs, the Canucks lose a journeyman player.   I know Rome's a good guy, but give me a break.  In the biggest hockey venue of the season, he decides to make a lateral, leave-your-feet, late head-shot hit on Nathan Horton.  Doesn't do much for the game, doesn't say much for the league and because Rome lost his poise, his actions could have a very real effect on the outcome of this series.

Interesting comments from NHL SVP of Operations Mike Murphy, Murphy claims the Rome hit would have been legal if it were not late.  That's like saying the drunk driver would have been sober if he drank only twelve beers instead of fifteen.  Watch the video again Mike http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pUYqTE3cnuQ he went for the head, it was still a lateral hit and he left his feet. You might want to turn the reins over to Brendan Shanahan now before this series gets any uglier.  Really, where do they get these guys?

The league did not bring this incident on, however, the player did.  Until the players take ownership of the problem and start respecting one another, these types of occurrences will continue.  The NHL, despite a new disciplinarian, loses yet another opportunity to eliminate blind-side hits.  Rome's suspension is nothing - he should have received at least 10 games into the regular season next year. 

Other notes....referee Stephen Walkom did the Bruins a huge favor by giving Shawn Thornton a "preventative misconduct".  The Bruins need Thornton's presence in game 4, had he played out the remainder of game 3 he quite possibly would have done something to warrant a game suspension.  Momentum is a funny thing, the Bruin's have woken up and it's highly likely this will continue...remember my prediction, Bruins in 6.

Sunday, June 5, 2011

Reality Bites

Do you think Bobby Orr and the Big Bad Bruins of yesteryear would have let Alex Burrows score two goals and an assist in a game subsequent to biting one of their teammates?  I'm doubting Burrows would have made it beyond the first period.  OK, so the NHL disciplinary office messed up once again, but really, what did you expect here?  Even Henrik Sedin joked about the incident in an NBC snippet where he introduced his twin brother and "vegetarian" line mate Alex Burrows.  I'm still shocked Burrows went unscathed through the entire game, but let's move on.

The Bruins power play gives the Canucks a decided advantage.  The Canucks can actually take good penalties with a high likelihood the Bruins won't score - in fact a 92% likelihood they won't score.  This confidence effectively means the Canucks can clutch, grab and otherwise take full liberties with the Bruins.  For Vancouver, this results in no real penalty other than a lost opportunity cost from an offensive perspective.  Manny Malhotra's return to the Canuck power play won't make life any better for the lethargic Bruin power play.   To compound matters, Vancouver's power play effectiveness in the playoffs is just under 30%.  In fact, the last series against San Jose they were 37% effective.  A bit daunting for the Bruins, every third penalty they give up will statistically result in a goal for Vancouver. 

Is Claude Julien thinking of dressing Cam Neely, Terry O'Reilly or Shawn Thornton next game? 

Wednesday, June 1, 2011

Pre Game Warm Up

As you prepare for tonight's Stanley Cup opener between the Bruins and Canucks, check out the following links:

Time To Go - Dropkick Murphys
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AP5g-Pjpg_I

Nutrocker Live - Dropkick Murphys
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yOISP4xnw-Q&feature=related

Top 10 Stanley Cup Playoff Upsets 
http://www.toponlinecolleges.com/blog/2011/10-greatest-nhl-playoff-upsets/
(not certain how the 1971 Bruins playoff elimination to Canadiens missed this list, see my May 1, 2010 entry "The Caps, The Red Sox and The Crappy Feeling Index")

Monday, May 30, 2011

Fear Not John R

Have you been following tweets from JayRCallahan (aka John R Callahan)?  His Twitter updates are highly entertaining and worth checking out http://twitter.com/#!/jayrcallahan  Seems John R was curious about a couple of topics last week.  One was what percentage of the male population that actually tuned into Oprah's show.  The second was fear of a Vancouver versus Tampa Bay Stanley Cup Final and its effect on TV ratings.  While I don't have the answer on Oprah's male viewers, I can say this, FEAR NOT JOHN R AND VERSUS, THE BRUINS ARE GOING TO THE FINALS!

I am actually a bit perplexed that former Pond Meadow and Faxon Park pond hockey legend John R had any doubt about the Bruins winning game seven.  I am pleased to report he is doing well, in fact on Saturday morning my cell phone rang, it was the legend blaring the Bruins WSBK-TV38 theme song from the Dropkick Murphys into my ear.  All is well in Pond Meadow and Faxon Park.  

It's been 21 years and the Boston Bruins are finally going to the Stanley Cup Finals.  This will be an interesting match up.  First the Vancouver Canucks are favored and their media is lacking no confidence.  The Vancouver Sun sports section actually seemed pleased the Canucks will play the Bruins and predicted the Canucks will win.  I believe this series will be a closer one than most people think.

Goaltending.  Tim Thomas will rise to the occasion.  Roberto Luongo is no slouch, however, I give the goal tending edge to the Bruins.

Defense.  Zdeno Chiaro and Dennis Siedenberg will log lots of minutes.  Johnny Boychuk and Andrew Ference are solid and Thomas Kaberle will have to deliver on the power play.  I like the Bruin defense despite Vancouver's Kevin Bieksa, Alexander Edler, and Dan Hamhuis all being solid two-way defensemen.  The Bruins are stronger here.

Forwards.  It's really easy to figure this one out, the Bruins cannot take penalties.  If they get sloppy, this will be a short series.  The potent Vancouver forwards led by the Sedin twins, Ryan Kessler and the return of Manny Malholtra (possibly), are outstanding.  Bruins forwards are winning faceoffs and transition well.  The Canucks forwards (and special teams) are just better. 

Bruins in six.

Saturday, May 14, 2011

The Last Four Standing

I believe the four remaining teams in the Stanley Cup playoffs clearly are the four best teams in the league.  This will make for an exciting semifinal round.

San Jose versus Vancouver

Vancouver only has three players that have previously advanced to the final round.  Vancouver offense is solid albeit in need of a bigger contribution from the Sedin twins.  Ryan Kessler cannot carry the water alone.  San Jose is getting solid performances from Joe Thornton, Logan Couture, Joe Pavelski but will need Dany Heatley and Patrick Marleau to show up.  I like the San Jose forwards.  As for defense, I give the edge to Vancouver.  San Jose has Dan Boyle but there is little depth after him.  Vancouver, led by Kevin Bieksa and Alan Edler, are just more talented defensively.  San Jose goal tending is a bit stronger.  Anti Niemi is coming off a strong series with Detriot.  Roberto Luongo is highly capable, but can he deliver when it counts?

This series will be close, I am picking San Jose.

Boston versus Tampa Bay

From the minute the puck drops, expect the Bruins to be physical.  The Tampa Bay forwards are more talented than the Bruins.  The B's will need to rough up Tampa Bay from the outset, if they don't its going to be a short series.  Zdeno Chara leads the Bruin defense and he is well rested and ready to go.  Chara gets solid supporting help from Dennis Seidenberg.  The Bruin's defense is superior to injury laden Tampa Bay's.   Tim Thomas needs to continue building momentum from his strong regular season and early-round playoff performance.  Another solid series, with the Bruins advancing, and he becomes part of the Conn Smythe conversation.  Duane Roloson is playing terrific and will be well rested - I still give the goal tending advantage to the Bruins.

Barring the unforeseen, the Bruins should take this series. 

Miscellaneous.....is it any wonder the Edmonton Oilers are in the cellar for the past couple of years?  You have to wonder how they judge talent?  They decided not to renew Colin McDonald's contract during the summer of 2010, so what does McDonald do?  He goes out and leads the AHL in scoring.  McDonald would be a good acquisition in June for an NHL team needing a solid defensive minded forward.

Sunday, March 13, 2011

Hockey's Dale Earnhardt Moment

An interesting week in the hockey world to say the least.  It is becoming increasingly apparent that many players in the league have absolutely no respect for each other.  I agree with Mike Milbury, the GM's and owners need to address the increasing violence NOW.  I would also suggest the NHLPA have a discussion with the players by pointing out the league is at a real flashing point if the current trend of violence continues.  The NHLPA may want to revisit player safety issues as well, they can start by considering a ban on fighting. 

Let's look at the Chara check.  When I saw the replay I asked myself four questions:

1) Was the check excessive?
2) Was there an intent to injure?
3) Was the check necessary?
4) Was the check an unsportsmanlike act?

The answers.....

1) Yes.
2) Don't know but doubt it.
3) No.  Chara was almost beat on the play, if the stanchion was not there it was likely Pacioretty would have slid by him.  Chara had to do something to impede his progress, but come on, this was over the top.  Chara and his team were down 4-0, he was pissed off.  Don Cherry characterized this as a hockey play - I vehemently disagree. 
4) Yes absolutely.  He was amped up and about to be beaten on this play. 

So, did the league make the right decision?  It's interesting because Chara is an honorable player with a solid track record of success.  It would be interesting to see what the league would have done if the player were someone other than Chara.  Let's look at an "instead of Chara what if" scenario:

Instead of Chara what if the player were _________ would he be suspended?
                                                               Wayne Gretzky          N/A
                                                               Alex Ovechkin           Yes
                                                                Cam Neely                Yes
                                                              Mario Lemieux           N/A
                                                                 Jean Ratelle              N/A
                                                                  Bobby Orr               N/A
                                                               Steve Yzerman           N/A
                                                                 Matt Cooke               Yes
                                                                Steve Downie            Yes
                                                                Trevor Gillies            Yes

When you do this exercise it really becomes a judgment on which players have the propensity to do something like this and which players would never consider it.  The not applicable (N/A) players would never really get in a position like this so, really, its a moot point.  These players have so much respect for the league and fellow players that an event like this is really beyond consideration for them.  When looking at the players that "yes" would be suspended, you see two different types.  Ovechin and Neely are/were "talented aggressors" much like Chara, both would likely have been suspended.  The second type of players are what I call "energy goons"; Cooke, Downie and Gillies fall into this category.   All of these "energy goons" would have received a substantial suspensions.  The "energy goons" alone cause enough problems within the league already.  It is particularly troubling however when a "talented aggressor" is involved in an incident of violence. 

Given the answers to my four questions and the categorization of Chara as a "talented aggressor" I would have given him a three game suspension.  One of these days the league and the NHLPA will wake up to the violence issue before it's too late.  On the heels of the recent Bob Probert research findings, we have a player nearly killed and now sponsors threatening to abandon ship.  How does the NHL respond?  Nothing, they just bank on our short term memory until the next incident takes place.

Bruce Dowbiggin of the Toronto Globe and Mail summed it up perfectly when he said, "Whether Bettman likes it or not, this is hockey’s Dale Earnhardt moment, the time when the speed of the cars and the aggression of the drivers overwhelms the race track. As NASCAR did when its brightest star Earnhardt was killed at the Daytona 500 in 2001, hockey has to take its foot off the accelerator and take stock of how much risk is acceptable. (Earnhardt was the fourth driver to die in NASCAR within a year; since revising its safety standards, no NASCAR driver has died since.) No matter how impulsive Air Canada’s media onslaught seemed, who wants a dead NHL player photographed lying in front of your corporate logo on the boards? Bettman’s petulant response to the week’s criticism, however, indicates he’s still got the pedal to the floor and his fingers in his ears."

Leadership, it starts at the top.

Sunday, March 6, 2011

Watson and the National Hockey League

By now you all are aware of the recent Jeopardy match played among Ken Jennings, Brad Rutter and IBM's Watson.  You will recollect that Watson didn't do too badly until the final jeopardy round on the second day when it was given the clue "Its largest airport was named for a World War II hero; its second-largest, for a World War II battle."  Watson's reply was "Toronto!".  Wrong city, wrong country.

I am curious why Watson selected Toronto and I am thinking there may be a hidden meaning behind this choice.  I'm thinking this was Watson's subliminal way of saying he might be able to help out the National Hockey League with some of its current issues.   So I decided to provide a list of problem areas for Watson to research:
  1. Can you help the Pittsburgh Penguins scouting team provide a replacement for Matt Cooke?  
  2. Can you help the New York Islanders find a goaltender?
  3. Can you help me understand why Trevor Gillies is not suspended for the rest of the season?  He has two minutes of penalties for every minute of ice time he sees - not a really good ratio.   
  4. Can you help me understand why there is an NHL team in Atlanta but not in Kitchener Ontario?
  5. Can you help me understand why there is still no "no touch icing" in the NHL?
  6. Are the New York Rangers for real?
  7. Will the Toronto Maple Leafs make the playoffs?  [If yes, what effect will this have on ticket prices?]
  8. Why can't the NHL rid themselves of a culture that has them employ the likes of Matt Cooke, Steve Downey, Sean Avery and Trevor Gillies?
  9. Should the NHL eliminate fighting?  
  10. Does the NHL need to consider changing the ice surface dimensions given the increase in player size?
  11. Does the recklessness and stupidity leading to concussions register with the NHL ownership or the NHLPA?  Should an independent medical commission look into this?

Sunday, February 13, 2011

Time To Phase Out "Energy Goons"

I remember years ago back in junior high school we used to have boxing matches in gym class.  It was actually a lot of fun.   For some kids, however, the experience wasn't so great as the gym teacher would match kids they did not like with partners much bigger, tougher and stronger.   This typically resulted in a one-sided ass kicking.   Over time, the school administration realized this probably was not a great idea as there was a possibility of someone getting seriously hurt.  Boxing was soon phased out of the gym class curriculum. 

You know what else is not a good idea?  Having Matt Cooke on your team.  Last week Cooke was handed a four game suspension for his behind the back hit on Fedor Tyutin.  When asked about the Cooke hit here's how Dan Bylsma responded “The player looks him right in the eye and knows he’s coming and makes sure he keeps his numbers turned towards him."  Dan, did you ever consider why folks are taking shots at some of your better players?  Look at this video from Don Cherry last March.  It shows numerous examples of Matt Cooke intending to injure opponents.   Cherry is prescient as he points out that opponents will start going after star Pittsburgh players like Sidney Crosby. 


Retired winger Bill Guerin even called Cooke out after the Savard incident, you would think when your own teammate is non-supportive, Cooke would get the clue he's way over the line.  The most recent Cooke incident with Tyutin comes on the heels of last Sunday's game against the Washington Capitals where he intentionally stuck out his knee on Alex Ovechkin. 

So, how does this get fixed?  Mike Milbury and Pierre McQuire actually had some pretty good thoughts on this.  Milbury suggested putting a maximum limit on the number of major penalties or suspensions for a given player during the course of the season.  Once this limit is exceeded, they are gone for the rest of the season.  Pierre McQuire suggested lowering the roster size of players on the bench by one.  That way a coach or GM would think twice about wasting a slot with an "energy-goon" like Matt Cooke.  The Detroit Red Wings, for example, seem to do pretty well without an "energy goon".

Miscelleneous notes.....Islander goalies....where do they get these guys?  I have always thought it risky to select a goalie as your #1 pick.  Goalies are really a wild card as a high draft choice, they less predictable than forwards or defense men and typically have a longer development cycle.  Picking Rick DiPietro first and signing him to a long term contract as an unproven NHL player was not a good move....Islander rookie goalie Kevin Poulin was irate at Vancouver Canucks forward Mason Raymond's spin-o-rama shoot out goal in a January game....Here's a novel idea Kevin, you might want to consider stopping the puck and keeping quiet...not a sermon, just a suggestion.

Washington Capitals.....very interesting team right now.   I believe the goal tending is solid and so is the defense.  The key missing piece to the puzzle this year is something they new about at the start of the season - no depth at center ice beyond Niklas Backstrom.  They tried Tomas Fleischmann there, but he didn't click.  Mathieu Perrault is talented and fast but inconsistent and still learning.  Marcus Johansson can fly but is not quite there yet.  The Caps did not plan on Backstrom having a really poor season....the lack of firepower up the middle is killing these guys...should be an interesting trade deadline....if they want to get into the playoffs and advance a couple of rounds they need some center icemen... 

Saturday, January 15, 2011

A Letter To Maple Leaf Season Ticket Holders

It is fascinating to look at the NHL from a financial perspective.  Two (2) interesting metrics are Price Per Ticket and Operating Income by team.  Check this out:

Price Per Ticket - US $ (Based on the week of January 10, 2011)

Toronto                $209.26
Montreal              $194.46
Vancouver           $157.76
Pittsburgh             $144.76
Edmonton            $121.49
Source:  SeatGeek

Operating Income - US $ (in millions, 2009)

Toronto                $78.90
Montreal              $31.30
NY Rangers         $27.70
Detroit                 $27.40
Chicago               $20.90
Source:  Forbes November 11, 2009

Imagine paying on average $209.26 for one ticket to watch the Toronto Maple Leafs!  What are these fans thinking about? This franchise has done next to nothing since they won the Stanley Cup in 1967.  In fact, they have missed the playoff for the past five (5) years (and won't make it this year either), they have the longest active Stanley Cup drought in the league and are the only Original Six team to not have won the Cup post league expansion.  Despite this pile of dung they serve up every year, this franchise has the highest valuation in the league at $470 million and makes far more Operating Income than the number two team, the Montreal Canadiens at $31.3 million.  When you look at the entire NHL Operating Income of $183.5 million, you quickly realize the Maple Leafs earn 43% of that total.

After looking at these numbers and the sustained below average performance of this team for the past 40 years, I wondered what the yearly letter from the Maple Leaf Sports and Entertainment Ltd. says to the Maple Leaf season ticket holders.   Below I have crafted how it might look:

Dear Maple Leaf Season Ticket Holder,

Congratulations on becoming a season ticket holder for the 2010-2011 hockey season.  We are prepared for another exciting season of Leaf hockey at the Air Canada Center.  Frankly, we are absolutely blown away by your support.  We have not made the playoffs in years, we don't expect to make it this year and we have not won the Stanley Cup in over 40 years.  Despite this, you continue to support our franchise, your perseverance is noteworthy and we are grateful.

Going into this season we are encouraged as our season ticket wait list is now over 3,000 strong.  Evidence that our mediocre hockey team is not only a source of entertainment for you, but for many other folks in the area.  In fact, you should tell your friends one interim solution to the waiting list is our VIP Mini Packs - check them out on our website at http://mapleleafs.nhl.com/club/page.htm?id=42099.  This promotion allows you to get two (2) tickets to five (5) Leaf games AND two (2) tickets to five (5) Toronto Raptors games.  Due to the demand for sub-par sports entertainment in the Metro-Toronto area we have ingeniously applied a ticket tying practice.  This way when you buy Leaf tickets you can augment your hockey disappointment by getting a dose of frustration from our below average basketball team.  We have seen the Microsoft Corporation bundle mediocre products, so we decided to give it a shot.  It's turning out to be a real money-maker for us so far.

As for future direction of the club, we are petrified of what a franchise in Hamilton poses to our business model.  Could you imagine the possibility of Leaf season ticket holders switching allegiances en masse to an ownership group that could actually outfit a winning hockey team?  We still remain supportive of Burkie and his staff though admittedly we are scratching our heads on why Phil Kessel and Kris Versteeg have a combined plus/minus of -26 as of this writing.

Despite all appearances we are not the Washington Redskins.  We can judge talent and we will not overpay our players.  We again thank you for being a season ticket holder!

Sincerely,


Maple Leaf Sports and Entertainment Ltd.